![]() ![]() The forecast has not changed much since the last full advisory at 11 a.m. This will allow an upper-level trough positioned near New Mexico and Colorado to begin to steer Michael more northeastward on Wednesday. The ridge of high pressure centered off the Mid Atlantic coast will begin to fade and move and drift eastward. The warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico are aiding in its strengthening. Shear around the core of the storm appears low as the storm is intensifying. The environment remains conducive for additional strengthening during the next 12 to 18 hours, according to the NHC’s 5 p.m. The most recent data showed the highest winds on the southeastern corner where some of the deepest convection was located. Hurricane Hunters were flying through Michael Tuesday evening. Isolated spin-up tornadoes are possible as Michael's rain bands move ashore. So far, storm surge will likely be most severe between Mexico Beach and Keaton Beach. Coastal flooding and a 4 to 10 foot storm surge is possible. Tropical storm-force winds of 39-74 mph are possible throughout the entire North Florida and South Georgia viewing area. Tropical storm-force winds extend 175 miles from its center. Hurricane force winds extend 45 miles away from Michael's center. By Wednesday night, winds should be significantly weaker around 85 mph near the center of the storm. Landfall is projected to be somewhere west of Apalachicola around Wednesday afternoon. However, the forecast path remains the same. Satellite imagery is showing Michael's eye wobbling a bit. The storm is located about 180 miles SSW of Panama City, moving north at 12 mph. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows Hurricane Michael as a Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph. ![]()
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